Objectives
- We aim to exploit the heterogeneity within and between the countries under study – Brazil, Mexico, Colombia and Ecuador – in order to:
- Systematically document each country’s experience and approach to PHC and its differential effectiveness on a broad range of morbidity and mortality outcomes, with special focus on health-related SDGs and reduction of health inequalities.
- Forecast the effects of a broad range of differential increases in PHC coverage versus scenarios of stabilization or decreases on health outcomes up to 2030.
- Consolidate a network of Latin American researchers based on an open dynamic platform and public datasets for continuous cycles of monitoring, evaluation and forecasting.
Brasil
Davide Rasella
Coordinator
My main research interests are in Health Impact Assessment and Evaluation of Policies and Interventions, focused on:
– methods of ex-post and ex-ante health impact assessment and evaluation, including econometric methods and microsimulation models.
– impact of social determinants of health, economic interventions and cash transfer programs.
– impact of primary health care.
Jose Alejandro Ordoñez
Research Associate
Bayesian statistics, Spatial statistics, MCMC methods, regression methods for censored responses, binary regression.
Daniella Medeiros Cavalcanti
Research Associate
Impact Evaluation, Poverty, Inequality, Social Policy, Health Impact Assessment, Distributive Justice, Global Health, Education, Migration, Social Determinants of Health.
Alberto Pietro Sironi
Platform developer
Data science and information technologies applied to public health, with a special focus on epidemiological analysis with expertise in data science and Visual Analytics platforms
Alexander Almeida
Project Manager (PM)
Master in Administration from the School of Administration of the Federal University of Bahia (EAUFBA) and project manager of several projects in epidemiology by the Institute of Collective Health of the Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA)
Colombia
Philipp Hessel
Co-Principal Investigator (Co-PI)
Global health, demography, social epidemiology, policy evaluation
Daniela Zuluaga Mayorga
Research Associate
Health economics, public health, public policy, pharmaceutical price regulation
Juan Felipe Perdomo Diaz
Research Associate
Economist interested in topics related to macroeconomics, economic development, construction and analysis of data bases
Ecuador
Ana Lucia Moncayo Benalcázar
Co-Principal Investigator (Co-PI)
Epidemiology of infectious and chronic disease (asthma, chronic malnutrition, geohelminth infections, influenza, Chagas diseases) Health Impact Assessment
Cristina Alejandra Almeida Rodriguez
Research Associate
Health research
Mexico
Carlos Chivardi
Co-Principal Investigator (Co-PI)
Economic evaluation, efficiency analysis, decision modelling
Alejandro Zamudio Sosa
Research Associate
Health Psychology, Political psychology, Data science applied to social sciences
Publications
ARANSIOLA, T. J.; ORDOÑEZ, J. A.; CAVALCANTI, D. M.;HESSEL, P.; MONCAYO, A.; CHIVARDI, C.; SIRONI, A.; TASCA, R.; CAMPELLO, T.; PAES SOUSA, R.; AZEVEDO, G.; RUBIO, F.; SOUZA, L. E.; MACINKO, J.; RASELLA, D (2022): The Comprehensive Health Impact of Cash Transfers, Social Pensions and Primary Care in Brazil: An Integrated Evaluation and Forecasting Analysis to Mitigate the Effects of the COVID19-Related Economic Crisis. PrePrint Under Review– The Lancet Global Health. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4133606 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4133606
(in progress): The impact of two decades of conditional cash transfers on child mortality and morbidity in 7,204 Latin American municipalities: An integrated evaluation and forecasting analysis to mitigate effects of the economic crisis
(in progress): Understanding the social determinants of infant mortality due to malnutrition in four Latin American countries: a comparative analysis using regression models and machine learning algorithms
(in progress): Two decades of primary health care expansion in Latin America: a multi-country evaluation and forecasting study
(in progress): The effects of social pension coverage on mortality among older individuals in four Latin American countries: a longitudinal analysis
Network of Collaboration
Projects
Impact of the social determinants, transference of performance and basic attention to health in HIV/aids: a retrospective and forecasting survey based on a cohort of 100 Brazilian citizens.
Site: http://www.isc.ufba.br/dsaids/
I study the effects of socio-economic determinants, programs of transference of income and basic attention to health in the incidence, hospitalization, adherence to treatment and mortality of HIV/AIDS. For this, I will use one of the major bases of existing longitude dice: a Coorte de 100 Milhões de Brasileiros – do Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde da Fiocruz Bahia (Cidacs/ Fiocruz Bahia) – through the linkage of socio-economic and sausage dice . The project is led by the Instituto de Saúde Coletiva from the Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA) in collaboration with the Citizens and with the University of California in Los Angeles (UCLA).
Funder: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), National Institute of Health (NIH), Estados Unidos.
